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Robert Rennie, Head of FM Strategy at Westpac, suggests that the price action of USD/JPY pair since the highs suggests that we are in the early stages of rolling over and while we remain above 110.80/ 111.20, we remain in a technical uptrend.

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“Base case for us is that we start to roll over and break down through those levels through the end of this week.”

“Next week’s FOMC decision plus ‘dots’ and other associated material will be the near term critical drivers for $/ ¥. However given Rich’s view over that “It wouldn’t be a surprise if the number of dots for no hikes this year jumps significantly from two”, we have to view strength into 112 as a sell opportunity, with stops above 112.50.”

“Thus we shift our 1 week bias to sell, though maintain neutral 1 month and hang onto a buy on a 3 month basis.”