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  • USD/JPY closes the hour below 100-HMA for the first since Sept 2.
  • The spot bounces-off key support while within a symmetrical triangle.
  • Sentiment on Wall Street and dollar dynamics eyed for fresh direction.

USD/JPY holds the lower ground on the 106 level so far this Tuesday, having bounced-off a drop to the critical support of the rising trendline support at 106.20.

Despite the bounce, the downside appears more compelling, as the price gave an hourly closing below the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA) for the first time since September 2.

An hourly closing below the said trendline support would confirm a symmetrical triangle breakdown. A sharp drop could be triggered, with the next downside target seen at the horizontal 200-HMA at 106.08.

The hourly 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has inched upwards, still trades below the midline in the bearish territory.  

To the upside, the confluence of the 21 and 50-HMAs at 106.27 will likely limit the immediate bounce.

Further north, the daily high of 106.31 will be next in focus. Acceptance above the 106.50 level could negate the near-term bearish bias.

USD/JPY: Hourly chart


USD/JPY: Additional levels