Home USD/JPY Price Analysis: Clings to gains near 200-hour SMA, around 105.35-40 region
FXStreet News

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Clings to gains near 200-hour SMA, around 105.35-40 region

  • USD/JPY staged a goodish rebound from sub-105.00 levels amid resurgent USD demand.
  • The set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional near-term gains.
  • A move towards the 105.70 region, en-route the 106.00 mark, looks a distinct possibility.

The USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the key 105.00 psychological mark and staged a modest recovery from one-and-half-week lows set earlier this Tuesday. The pair, for now, seems to have snapped four consecutive days of the losing streak, albeit lacked any strong follow-through buying.

A goodish US dollar rebound from six-week lows was seen as a key factor that extended some support and assisted the pair to gain some positive traction. However, a turnaround in the global risk sentiment underpinned the safe-haven Japanese yen and kept a lid on any further gains for the USD/JPY pair.

From a technical perspective, the recent positive move from multi-month lows touched in January has been along an upward sloping channel. The formation points to a well-established short-term bullish trend, which, along with the emergence of some dip-buying, supports prospects for a further appreciating move.

The constructive outlook is reinforced by the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart are still holding in the bullish territory. Hence, a subsequent strength back towards an intermediate hurdle near the 105.70 horizontal zone, en-route the 106.00 round-figure mark, now looks a distinct possibility.

On the flip side, the 105.00-104.90 region (ascending channel support) should continue to protect the immediate downside. A sustained breakthrough will negate the near-term bullish bias and prompt some aggressive technical selling, turning the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to slide back towards the 104.40 area.

The downfall could further get extended towards the 104.00 round-figure mark before the USD/JPY pair eventually drops to the 103.45 support area. The next relevant downside target would be the 103.00 round-figure mark ahead of YTD lows, around the 102.60-55 region touched on January 6.

USD/JPY 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

 

FX Street

FX Street

FXStreet is the leading independent portal dedicated to the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. It was launched in 2000 and the portal has always been proud of their unyielding commitment to provide objective and unbiased information, to enable their users to take better and more confident decisions.