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USD/JPY retreated after marching to the upside. What’s next?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXdata:

NAB Research discusses USD/JPY outlook and notes that  from a technical perspective USD/JPY has room to trade toward ¥114.50 before it finds some serious resistance.

“The speculative community has modestly increased it short JPY positioning, but history would suggest there is plenty of room for further increases.

Our USD/JPY fair value model also suggests the currency is not yet looking expensive and similar to the technical picture, a move to nearer ¥114.50 is needed for the pair to look rich (all else equal).

Our bias would be for USD/JPY to head above ¥114 as long as trade tension worries do not turn into a DM equity rout,” NAB argues.

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