USD/JPY technical analysis: Trims gains, but bias remains bullish

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  • A flag breakout seen on USD/JPY’s daily chart suggests scope for a rally to 110.80.
  • The bullish setup would fail if the US-China trade talks collapse. 

USD/JPY is currently trading unchanged on the day around 107.95, having hit a high of 108.31 at 00:55 GMT. 

Despite the pullback, the outlook remains bullish, as the bullish breakout confirmed on Thursday is still valid. 

The pair closed at 107.95 yesterday, confirming a flag breakout on the daily line chart. The pattern indicates the rally from recent lows near 105.00 has resumed and has created room for a rise to 110.80 (target as per the measured move method). 

That target could be reached in the next week or two if the US and China announce a partial trade deal. 

President Trump is scheduled to meet China’s Vice Premier Liu He at 18:45 GMT on Friday. 

The flag breakout will likely fail if the trade negotiations end on a sour note, paving the way for further escalation of a trade war. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

 

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