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When EUR/USD chooses a direction – it may be down

EUR/USD  has been consolidating around 1.1100 and looking for a new direction as it waits, data, the European Central Bank’s meeting minutes, and the all-important speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Where will the currency go to? It may find it easier to fall rather rise.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  is showing that EUR/USD has support at  1.1065  which is the convergence of the previous monthly low and the Pivot Point one-day Support 2.

Below this line, noteworthy support awaits only at  1.1973, where we see the Pivot Point one-week Support 2 and the PP one-month S1.

Looking up, there is limited room to rise. Initial resistance is at  1.1094, where a dense cluster of lines awaits EUR/USD. These include the Bollinger Band 15min-Middle, the Simple Moving Average 50-15m, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the SMA 200-15m, the SMA 200-15m, the SMA 100-1h, the SMA 5-4h, the BB 15min-Upper, and the BB 1h-Middle.

Further up, robust resistance is seen at  1.1134, where we see the confluence of  the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the PP 1d-R3, and the SMA 200-1h.

Another cap awaits at  1.1174, where the SMA 200-4h and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week converge.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD August 22 2019 technical confluence

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.