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Analysts at  Nomura, despite all of the no-deal angst out there, argue that a deal is more likely than no deal.  

Key Quotes:

“A deal secured with the EU before Brexit day is  therefore  our base case. But if the timeline slips and no deal is agreed by October, it’s likely a political statement of intent to  agree  a deal by December will still be given, with the aim to help alleviate market concerns.”

“But on its  own  it would still make “no deal” Brexit headlines and with it market pricing for such an event rise as a result (lower GBP, lower Gilt yields).”