Home WTI Price Analysis: Fails to keep bounces off 200-day SMA support
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WTI Price Analysis: Fails to keep bounces off 200-day SMA support

  • WTI remains depressed below $38.00, defies late Friday’s corrective recovery.
  • Sustained trading below key Fibonacci retracement, amid normal RSI conditions, favors oil sellers.
  • 21-day SMA offers an extra filter to the north, $36.75 adds to the support.

WTI declines to $37.50 during the early Asian session on Monday. The energy benchmark remains pressured despite the recent U-turns from the key SMA.

The reason could be traced from the black gold’s sustained trading below 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the commodity’s October-November downside amid a lack of overbought/oversold RSI.

Hence, sellers again aim for the 200-day SMA level, currently around $37.20, whereas October 30 top and November 03 low highlight $36.75 as another important support for the oil bears.

If at all WTI drops below $36.75, the $35.00 round-figure may offer an intermediate halt during the south-run to the monthly low near $33.85.

Alternatively, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, respectively near $37.90 and $38.85, can challenge the short-term oil buyers ahead of 21-day SMA surrounding $39.05.

Also acting as an upward barrier for the WTI bulls is the $40.00 psychological magnet.

WTI daily chart

Trend: Bearish

 

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