Canadian Jobs Rise Sharply – Loonie Strong

Posted on December 4, 2009 by Yohay
Filed Under Forex News | 7 Comments

Canada’s employment figures post a big surprise once again – this time a good surprise – 79,100 jobs were added in Canada, 5 times the early expectations.  USD/CAD reacted with a fall, including a small gap in the chart. The loonie stood out by not giving in the dollar’s strength.

79.1K new jobs is almost double last month’s losses. This excellent figure wasn’t expected. lso the unemployment rate fell to 8.5%. It was expected to remain at 8.6%.

USD/CAD traded at  1.0480 after the release. It traded at 1.0525 before the release, and dropped to 1.0510 after the release. A gap can be seen in the hourly chart. The close is weaker, at 1.0578, due to the dollar’s rally.

Last month’s employment numbers were a big disappointment: 43.3K jobs were lost, erasing all the surprising gains from the previous month, and more. Also the unemployment rate tumbled down two months ago to 8.4% and bounced back up to 8.6% last month.

Earlier this week, GDP for September, the last month of Q3, rose by 0.4%. This marks the end of recession also for Canada. On the other hand, early expectations were for a rise of 0.5%. Expectations for Canadian growth weren’t met again.

USD/CAD has been trading in a range throughout the week. The trade between 1.04 and 1.06 is “by the book” of technical analysis. The pair began the week by falling down to 1.04, and then gradually rising. In the hours before the release, the range was more narrow: 1.0520 to 1.0580.

USD/CAD held on to its gains after the American Non-Farm Payrolls that sent the dollar up across the board.

Further reading: 5 notes for trading the Non-Farm Payrolls.

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Comments

7 Responses to “Canadian Jobs Rise Sharply – Loonie Strong”

  1. Forex Weekly Outlook – December 7-11 | Forex Crunch on December 5th, 2009 12:18 pm

    [...] follows immediately after it. Mark Carney isn’t expected to raise theOvernight Rate, despite excellent job figures on Friday. GDP is still moving slowly. The BOC usually lays out future policy in a straightforward [...]

  2. Canadian Dollar Forecast – December 7-11 | Forex Crunch on December 5th, 2009 9:13 pm

    [...] Canadian dollar enjoyed excellent employment figures, that helped it weather the greenback’s storm on Friday. The upcoming week contains a rate [...]

  3. Loonie Build Up on Building Permits | Forex Crunch on December 7th, 2009 5:05 pm

    [...] across the board: Building Permits jumped by 18% and the loonie jumps as well. This follows the excellent job figures on Friday. Will interest rates rise earlier than [...]

  4. Canadian Dollar Forecast - December 21-25 | Forex Crunch on December 21st, 2009 8:02 pm

    [...] news didn’t stop coming from Canada after the great employment numbers and great housing figures. If it wasn’t for the greenback’s strength, I would be [...]

  5. USD/CAD Forecast – December 28-31 | Forex Crunch on December 27th, 2009 12:37 pm

    [...] of the Canadian dollar is quite impressive, and there reasons for this. Strong inflation figures, great employment numbers and great housing figures. But a break downwards probably won’t happen this [...]

  6. USD/CAD Outlook – January 4-8 2010 | Forex Crunch on January 2nd, 2010 5:33 pm

    [...] of the week. Canada’s employment numbers moved strongly in the past three months. Last month, almost 80,000 jobs were added and the unemployment rate fell to 8.5%. This helped the loonie weather the storm of the greenback. One month earlier, 43.3K jobs were lost, [...]

  7. Forex Weekly Outlook – January 4-8 2010 | Forex Crunch on January 2nd, 2010 6:27 pm

    [...] Canadian employment figures have been excellent last month. Good numbers are expected this time as well: Employment Change is predicted to show a rise of 20K and the Unemployment Rate is expected to move from 8.5%. USD/CAD will rock around this release, especially as American NFP is next. [...]

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