Dollar Yen Currency Correlation

Posted on January 26, 2009 by Yohay
Filed Under Forex Opinions | 17 Comments

In the fast few weeks, the forex market has seen a correlation between the US dollar and the Japanese Yen. Whenever the dollar becomes stronger, the Yen beats everybody else, including the dollar. And vice versa.

Whenever the dollar weakens, like today, the Yen weakens even more.

Today, despite good data from the US, the dollar lost ground to the British Pound, the Euro and the Swiss Franc. But, it gained against the Japanese Yen.

Last week, the dollar made nice gains against all those European currencies, but weakened against the Yen. USD/JPY reached a 13 year low of 87.10.

This correlation happened in the past, a few months ago and is clearly seen recently. 

This makes the Yen crosses very promising. Today, the GBP/JPY made the sharpest move amongst all majors and crosses, gaining 2.66%, or 320 pips (at the time of writing). 

The second biggest gain was made by CHF/JPY (2.42%) and the third place was taken by EUR/JPY (2.24%). 

This shows how strong the correlation was today. Similar behavior occurred in the other direction last week, where the most lucrative positions were shorts on these crosses, all in favor of the Yen.

So, if this trend continues, Yen crosses are more favorable than the classic dollar currency pairs at this time.

I’ve previously written about another correlation – between the dollar and the pound, but this phenomenon has ceased. The USD JPY correlation seems stronger.

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Comments

17 Responses to “Dollar Yen Currency Correlation”

  1. Forex Daily Analysis - January 27th 2009 on January 27th, 2009 8:01 am

    [...] the dollar lost ground to the European majors. The Yen, in strong correlation with the dollar lost even [...]

  2. Forex Daily Analysis - February 2nd 2009 on February 2nd, 2009 10:21 am

    [...] the Japanese Yen doesn’t budge. USD/JPY now at 89.60. Dollar Yen correlation seems strong this morning. Ok, let’s see what is else is [...]

  3. Dollar on Break From Recent Behavior on February 20th, 2009 3:10 pm

    [...] there’s one correlation that stands firm in this regard: when the US dollar weakens against European currencies, the Yen weakens even more. This is exacly what happened [...]

  4. Yen Dollar Correlation on the Upside on March 30th, 2009 7:57 pm

    [...] written in the past about the Dollar Yen Correlation. In previous events, such as the FOMC Trillion dollar printing statement, the dollar weakened, and [...]

  5. GDP And FOMC Roundup - Yen Hurt | Forex Crunch on April 30th, 2009 12:59 am

    [...] risk related phenomenon was the break of the Dollar Yen Correlation: The Yen fell against the dollar, exactly like the Euro and Pound fell. USD/JPY broke upwards, and [...]

  6. Hangover from Friday Effect - What’s next for the Greenback? | Forex Crunch on May 11th, 2009 3:29 pm

    [...] Only USD/JPY is going against the trend, with the dollar currently weakening. The famous Dollar Yen correlation is felt [...]

  7. FOMC Statement - An Opportunity to Short the Yen Crosses | Forex Crunch on August 11th, 2009 1:28 pm

    [...] In February I wrote about this issue for the first time, and then I recommended that when the Dollar Yen correlation appears, trading the Yen crosses is favorable. [...]

  8. FOMC Statement – An Opportunity to Short the Yen Crosses on August 11th, 2009 2:57 pm

    [...] In February I wrote about this issue for the first time, and then I recommended that when theDollar Yen correlation appears, trading the Yen crosses is favorable. [...]

  9. GBP/JPY Popular Cross | Forex Crunch on September 21st, 2009 12:02 pm

    [...] Yen correlation: As aforementioned here, a correlation between the dollar and the Yen happens many times. This means that when the dollar weakens, the Yen weakens even more. This [...]

  10. Why is the Geppy So Popular? on September 21st, 2009 1:46 pm

    [...] Yen correlation: As aforementioned here, acorrelation between the dollar and the Yenhappens many times. This means that when the dollar weakens, the Yen weakens even more. This usually [...]

  11. Dollar falling in the Hide of the Night | Forex Crunch on October 16th, 2009 3:36 am

    [...] the dollar’s weakness: the Japanese Yen. USD/JPY is trading higher, at 90.70. The strong dollar yen correlation is back. Long positions on Japanese crosses enjoy this. EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY are on the [...]

  12. America out of recession – risk appetite resumes | Forex Crunch on October 29th, 2009 3:16 pm

    [...] victim of this renewed optimism is the Japanese Yen. Dollar Yen correlation is strong when the risk factor is strong. USD/JPY rises. Yen crosses [...]

  13. Forex Overview - October 30 2009 | Forex Crunch on October 30th, 2009 8:59 pm

    [...] of trading. Also the Yen enjoys fear, and is considered a “safe haven” currency. The Dollar Yen correlation of fear worked well for it, and for some Yen [...]

  14. EUR/USD isn’t convinced by good figures | Forex Crunch on November 2nd, 2009 6:10 pm

    [...] other currencies. There’s another “risk” currency – the Japanese Yen. The dollar yen correlation worked again, with USD/JPY jumping. This correlation makes the Yen crosses attractive for long [...]

  15. Weekly Forex Forecast - November 30 - December 4 | Forex Crunch on November 28th, 2009 2:01 pm

    [...] Another sharp move was seen by the Japanese Yen: USD/JPY reached 14 year lows. The safe haven currency enjoyed the crisis as well. The Dubai crisis sent the Yen crosses face down to the mud. The dollar Yen correlation worked perfectly. [...]

  16. Forex Posts - 15 most popular in 2009 | Forex Crunch on December 27th, 2009 6:23 pm

    [...] Dollar-Yen Currency Correlation [...]

  17. EBERE on December 28th, 2009 6:14 pm

    That’s it That’s what i wanna hear,definite comments.Thanks

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