Pound Rises on Easy Quantitative Easing

Posted on November 5, 2009 by Yohay
Filed Under Forex News | 11 Comments

The Bank of England decided to expand the Quantitative Easing program by 25 billion Pounds, less than 50 billion that was expected. Less Pound printing is better for the Pound that enjoys another good figure this week.

British interest rate remained at the historic low of 0.5%. There’s no rate hike in the horizon. No surprise here.

Surprise with Quantitative Easing: Mervyn King’s MPC is cautious with printing more Pounds. He personally wanted to enlarge the program to 200 billion Pounds already in August, but didn’t get enough support.Now that money has run out of the program, the Bank moved forward with this program.

Following the bad GDP that showed ongoing recession made economists think that the expansion of the Asset Purchase Facility by 50 billion. This smaller than expected increase helps the Pound rise. GBP/USD now trades at 1.6600, about 100 pips higher than in the minutes before the release.

The British Pound enjoyed good data during the week: Manufacturing PMI rose above the critical 50 point mark on Monday, and exceeded expectations significantly. Yesterday’s Services PMI was also better than expected, rising to 56.9 points, a level unseen in a long time.

House Prices are also on the rise, with Halifax HPI rising by 1.2%, significantly more than 0.8% that was predicted. And just today, Manufacturing Production posted a neat rise of 1.7% after falling last month, and also exceeding expectations.

Yesterday’s hopes for a positive rate decision in the US also pushed it higher, sending GBP/USD to 1.66 before around the announcement. The “Copy-pasted” FOMC statement (scenario no. 4)  slightly eased the gains, and sent GBP/USD to spin around 1.65 before the release of the British rate decision.

Events in Britain aren’t over this week – read the GBP/USD Forecast for more.

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Comments

11 Responses to “Pound Rises on Easy Quantitative Easing”

  1. Forex Daily Outlook – November 6th 2009 | Forex Crunch on November 6th, 2009 9:34 am

    [...] not a problem. A higher rise will help the Pound make some more gains, after yesterday’s Quantitative Easing was easier than expected. Britain’s Asset Purchase Facility was raised by only 25 billion, below expectations, showing [...]

  2. Forex Overview - November 6 2009 | Forex Crunch on November 6th, 2009 8:26 pm

    [...] no change of wording – almost copy pasted from the previous FOMC Statement. In my post about 4 scenarios for the Fed decision, I gave this option the highest probability, but I hoped for something more [...]

  3. Forex Forecast - November 9-13 2009 | Forex Crunch on November 7th, 2009 11:58 am

    [...] Tuesday, November 10th: British BRC Retail Sales Monitor serves as an unofficial retail sales release which should draw interest. Later in Britain, Trade Balance is expected to show a stable deficit. Also note the CB Leading Index. The British Pound enjoyed a favorable rate decision last week. [...]

  4. GBP/USD British Pound Forecast - November 9-13 | Forex Crunch on November 8th, 2009 1:27 am

    [...] enjoying a rather positive rate decision, big tests await the Pound – employment figures. Will the Pound enjoy them as well? Or will [...]

  5. The Pound is hiring | Forex Crunch on November 11th, 2009 11:46 am

    [...] by Fitch. The ongoing interventions in banks and the money for the quantitative easing plans (although it could be worse)  are weighing on the British government’s [...]

  6. Weekly Forex Forecast - November 16-20 | Forex Crunch on November 14th, 2009 4:24 pm

    [...] Britain, MPC Meeting Minutes are expected to show which members voted for the easy quantitative easing decision, and where the winds are blowing towards the next decision. This is an important event for the [...]

  7. GBP/USD Forecast November 16-20 2009 | Forex Crunch on November 14th, 2009 8:44 pm

    [...] Meeting Minutes: Last month’s rate decision included a slightly better outcome: a smaller than expected quantitative easing expansion of 25 billion pounds, less than 50 billion that was expected. This helped the Pound. We’ll [...]

  8. Pound Rises with Prices | Forex Crunch on November 17th, 2009 12:00 pm

    [...] in 8 months, consumer price index posted a rise. This justified the Pound’s recent rise, the relatively hawkish rate decision . The Pound got more fuel to reach the next levels. It is still far from the next resistance level, [...]

  9. GBP/USD Forecast - November 23-27 | Forex Crunch on November 22nd, 2009 11:46 am

    [...] Mervin King and Paul Tucker talk: Senior BoE members will stay in parliament in order to testify in front of another committee – the Economic Affairs Committee at the house of lords. There, they will both be testifying once again and might move the Pound, maybe in another direction. They begin talking on Tuesday at 15:35 GMT. They might hint about the quantitative easing scheme, which was expanded modestly last time. [...]

  10. Forex Weekly Outlook – December 7-11 | Forex Crunch on December 5th, 2009 12:34 pm

    [...] Facility or Quantitative Easing. Bottom line – a bigger program is bad for the Pound. Last month’s expansion to 200 billion was better than expected, but the members were split three ways in their decision. Also note the [...]

  11. British Pound Outlook- January 4-8 2010 | Forex Crunch on January 2nd, 2010 6:25 pm

    [...] as the Quantitative Easing program, isn’t expected to be extended beyond 200 billion pounds. It could have been larger. So, the first rate decision of 2010 will probably be around the MPC Rate Statement. Mervyn King [...]

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