USD/CHF Breaks Resistance on Firm SNB Decision

Posted on March 12, 2009 by Yohay
Filed Under Forex News | 10 Comments

USD/CHF made a huge jump of over 300 pips immediately after the SNB firmly implied that the it wants the Swiss Franc down. The Swissy broke a major resistance line on the way, and is heading north very fast.

The Swiss National Bank lowered the target Libor rate to 0.25%. That was widely expected. But the accompanying statement was staggering: SNB is really afraid of negative inflation and vowed to fight it with all its force. 

In the official paper, they implied that they want to see the Swiss Franc devaluating. Forcibly intervening in the forex market is a rare move by a central bank.

This rare move caused a rare move in USD/CHF: it leaped from about 1.16 before the release to 1.1950 at the peak. It now relaxed to around 1.19. It broke the resistance line of 1.1884 that was a peak in February 20th. It last saw these levels exactly three months ago, as it was tumbling down. The next major target is 1.2250, the peak from December. 

Also against the Euro, the Swiss Franc collapsed and broke resistance. EUR/CHF jumped from 1.48 to 1.53, now “relaxing” at 1.52. Broken resistance was at 1.5192, a high from January 28th. This cross is closely watched as well.

Huge moves are also seen in other crosses such as the CHF/JPY and GBP/CHF.

I’m covering this big move one hour after the release, after it began. I wonder if this will continue and we’ll see a continous decline of the Swiss Franc.

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Comments

10 Responses to “USD/CHF Breaks Resistance on Firm SNB Decision”

  1. FOMC Statement Impact - One Week After on March 26th, 2009 1:54 pm

    [...] during this week, but didn’t lose much. It currently trades at 1.12, almost at the bottom. SNB intervened to weaken the Swiss Franc, but this didn’t last. FOMC moves strengthened the Swissy to levels that were last seen in [...]

  2. Forex Daily Outlook - April 28th 2009 | Forex Crunch on April 30th, 2009 5:55 pm

    [...] Governing Board Chairman Jean-Pierre Roth will deliver an important speech. The move to intervene in the forex market to weaken the Franc hasn’t succeeded. I wonder if he’ll relate to [...]

  3. Forex Links for the Weekend | Forex Crunch on May 9th, 2009 7:25 pm

    [...] Kritzer talks about another intervention of the SNB in the Swiss [...]

  4. Critial Week in the Swissy | Forex Crunch on June 14th, 2009 9:54 pm

    [...] the SNB declared a “forex war” – by announcing that the Swiss Franc was too high. They intervened in the forex market in order to weaken the Swiss Franc. Their move had a short-term impact. Future events strengthened [...]

  5. Forex Weekly Outlook - June 15-19 2009 | Forex Crunch on June 14th, 2009 10:06 pm

    [...] time, the SNB intervened in the market to weaken the Swiss Franc. It didn’t really [...]

  6. Central Banks Intervention - Great Trade Opportunity | Forex Crunch on June 25th, 2009 12:27 pm

    [...] Swiss National Bank intervened in the forex market on March 12th in order to weaken the Swiss Franc. A weaker currency makes Switzerland’s export driven [...]

  7. Swiss Franc Outlook – September 14-19 2009 | Forex Crunch on September 13th, 2009 8:58 pm

    [...] part of this event is the SNB Monetary Policy Assessment. The SNB lays out future plans, and sometimes declares market interventions. They want a weaker exchange rate for their currency, but the recent weakness of the dollar shows [...]

  8. Support Line – Courtesy of the Bank | Forex Crunch on September 30th, 2009 7:42 pm

    [...] of the Swiss Franc against the Euro. It just safe guards it from reaching low levels. Since the big intervention on March 12th,EUR/CHF hasn’t fallen below 1.50.This number is a round number, but it has never served [...]

  9. Forex Weekly Outlook – March 8-12 | Forex Crunch on March 6th, 2010 1:24 pm

    [...] only once a quarter. The rate is expected to remain unchanged at 0.25%. At the same time last year, the central bank accompanied the rate decision with a massive intervention. They now intervene all the time, not only on rate [...]

  10. Forex Weekly Outlook – June 14-18 | Forex Crunch on June 12th, 2010 12:02 pm

    [...] Swiss rate decision: Published on Thursday at 7:15 GMT. The Swiss National Bank makes a decision on the Libor Rate only once a quarter. No change is expected this time, so the focus will be on the accompanying release of the SNB Monetary Policy Assessment. Will the central bank express concerns about the currency? After the fall of the Japanese government, the Swissy got some renewed attention as a safe haven currency. The low levels of EUR/CHF could trigger an intervention, and this might happen together with the rate decision, as seen in the past. [...]

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