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China SMEI: Downward pressure is intensifying – Standard Chartered

Lan Shen, Economist at Standard Chartered, notes that in China sentiment among SMEs has weakened in October, along with a decline in their current performance as the headline SMEI (Bloomberg: SCCNSMEI )  –  based on our monthly survey of more than 500 SMEs  –  eased to 54.5 in October from 55.6 in September.

Key Quotes

“The ‘current performance’ sub-index fell the most, followed by the ‘credit’ and ‘expectations’ sub-indices, reflecting mounting downward pressure on SMEs’ real activity.”

“Sales turned sluggish on slowing domestic demand and increasing export uncertainty, according to our survey results.”

“Credit conditions for SMEs deteriorated in October after a temporary improvement in August.  Despite flush market liquidity, banks’ appetite for lending to SMEs remained low and borrowing costs for SMEs stayed elevated.”

“We expect the October reserve ratio requirement (RRR) cut to provide more longer-term funding at lower cost, which could help to easing financing pressure in the real economy.”

 

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