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USD/CNH Technical Analysis: Bounce could be short-lived

The USD/CNH is currently trading at 6.8690 – up 0.27 percent on the day – confirming an upside break of the falling trendline on the hourly chart. The bounce, however, could be short-lived, as the daily chart continues to call a move lower to 6.80.

Hourly chart

  • As seen above, the falling trendline has been scaled, validating the bullish divergence of the relative strength index (RSI). The key MAs (50, 100 and 200), however, continue to trend lower in favor of the bears. As a result, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.

Daily chart

  • The symmetrical triangle breakdown confirmed on Monday validated the bearish divergence of the 14-week RSI and opened the doors for 6.80 (23.6% Fib R of March low/November high).
  • More importantly, the outlook as per the daily chart will remain bearish as long as the pair is trading below the descending 9bearish) 10-day MA, currently at

Trend: Bearish

USD/CNH

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  6.8695
       Today Daily change:  1.9e+2  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.273%
       Today Daily Open:  6.8508
Trends:
       Previous Daily SMA20:  6.9307
       Previous Daily SMA50:  6.9242
       Previous Daily SMA100:  6.8828
       Previous Daily SMA200:  6.64
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  6.8828
       Previous Daily Low:  6.826
       Previous Weekly High:  6.9587
       Previous Weekly Low:  6.9306
       Previous Monthly High:  6.9808
       Previous Monthly Low:  6.8525
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  6.8477
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  6.8611
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  6.8236
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  6.7963
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  6.7667
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  6.8804
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  6.91
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  6.9373

 

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