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ECB to end QE but leave rates unchanged – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities are expecting the ECB to end QE but leave rates unchanged this month.

Key Quotes

“We see tweaks to reinvestment guidance with a smoother profile and a mild skew toward corporates. The ECB will leave the door open for rollover TLTROs, but it is unlikely to announce these until next year.”

“We expect relatively minor revisions to the ECB projections. We do not expect a downgrade to the risk bias.”

FX: We think this meeting may be relatively sparse for direct FX cues, but we would expect EURUSD to follow if bund rates move higher.”

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