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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Fed’s decision likely to leave consolidation range vulnerable

  • The EUR/USD pair awaits the FOMC decision with a bullish tone, trading close to the 1.1445/50 resistance area but still in the range. Since late November it moved most of the time between 1.1400 and 1.1300, excluding some moments when it climbed to near 1.1450 but failed to hold and pulled back. It also traded under 1.1300, but it was rejected and rose back above.  
  • If the Fed’s tone moves the market, the range could be challenged. A break to the upside, with a consolidation on top of 1.1450 could signal a test of 1.1500, the next strong resistance.  
  • On the downside, a retracement to 1.1360 would be seen as normal. Below it could extend the slide to 1.1300. Under 1.1300 the bearish momentum is likely to raise, leaving 1.1260/70 exposed. It the slide continues, an approximation to YTD lows at 1.1215/20 could be expected.

EUR/USD 4-hour chart

EUR/USD

EUR/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  1.1428
       Today Daily change:  64  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.563%
       Today Daily Open:  1.1364
Trends:
       Previous Daily SMA20:  1.1354
       Previous Daily SMA50:  1.1394
       Previous Daily SMA100:  1.1491
       Previous Daily SMA200:  1.1708
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  1.1404
       Previous Daily Low:  1.1337
       Previous Weekly High:  1.1444
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.1269
       Previous Monthly High:  1.15
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.1216
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.1378
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.1362
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.1332
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.1301
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.1265
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.1399
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.1435
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.1466

 

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