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Canada: Energy sector dampening the growth outlook – ING

According to analysts at ING, Canada’s unemployment rate should edge up slightly in December to 5.7%, but wage growth could soften the figure (again) if we see another deceleration.

Key Quotes

“Our medium-term growth outlook, and thus demand for labour, has been dampened slightly by Canada’s energy sector. Transportation constraints and inventory build-ups have triggered cutbacks in production. The central bank pointed out that the sector will be “materially weaker than expected” in their December press release.”

“Employment should be supported by the new non-medicinal cannabis market, legalised mid-October. The scope for growth is large and in turn so are hiring prospects – November saw an annual increase of 266% in cannabis-related jobs. This should help keep the unemployment rate relatively low.”

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