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DoubleLine’s Gundlach: High-yield market flashing ‘yellow’ on recession

Jeffrey Gundlach, Wall Street’s bond king and Founder and Chief Executive Officer of DoubleLine, which manages $120 billion, said late-Tuesday, the high-yield “junk” bond market, which has been a leading indicator of recessions, is flashing “yellow now”.

Key Quotes  (Source: Reuters):

The signal “may be … a false positive,” but “this is something we’re going to have to watch very, very carefully.”

The current buy-the-dip mentality reminds him of the complacency that took place in the 2007-2008 credit market right before the great financial crisis.

“There’s potential for that here. Because the panic in December was a buying panic – not a selling panic – you never saw the VIX truly spike the way you want for a panic. You want to see that thing over 40. It never made it to 40.”

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday pivoted from pragmatism to a “Powell Put” – that the Fed under his leadership will act like an options contract to prevent stocks from falling too much.

The ballooning U.S. federal government debt is “a completely horrific situation” and that the United States could be at a “tipping point” in a “debt-compounding cycle.”

“Are we growing at all or is it all just the increase in debt?”  

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