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Speech by Fed’s Mester on ‘perspectives on cybersecurity, the financial system, and the Federal Reserve’

Fed’s Mester says:

More likely that current FFR may need to move a bit higher than current level, but possible current hiking cycle is done

  • Overall the economy is doing well, sees no urgency to change current monpol stance
  • Before moving on rates, fed has time to gather further evidence, but possible current hiking cycle is done
  • More likely that current ffr may need to move a bit higher than current level
  • Labor markets are strong and underlying inflation consistent with 2% target
  • Data of late mixed, point to soft q1 below 2018’s 3% pace
  • Q1 weakness likely to be temporary
  • Growth for this year likely above my 2% estimate
  • Household income continues to grow, reflecting strong labor market
  • Labor productivity improving after multi-year slump
  • Sentiment readings have improved for businesses, consumers & investors since turn of year
  • Postponement of additional imports tariffs from China has reduced some uncertainty
  • FOMCs intention is to hold no more assets than necessary to implement monetary policy effectively
  • Asset runoff will slow in may and will cease at the end of September
  • In time balance sheet will keep pace with the appropriate level of reserves in the system
  • Cybersecurity is an important part of financial stability

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