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Eurozone: Downside surprise in inflation – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities note that Eurozone’s inflation figures surprised to the downside in May, with headline inflation slipping to 1.2% y/y and core inflation at just 0.8% y/y.

Key Quotes

“Within core inflation, core goods inflation rose a tick to 0.3% y/y, while services prices fell very sharply to 1.1% y/y. These figures pose a real challenge to the ECB’s fairly optimistic March projections, and notably won’t be included in their forecasts released later this week.”

“It’s worth remembering that April’s figures were artificially inflated by Easter timing effects, so May’s data reflects the truer underlying price picture. The unemployment rate for April improved to 7.6%, its best reading since 2008.”

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