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Germany: In the crosswinds of trade war – Danske Bank

According to analysts at Danske Bank, a rocky road still lies ahead for the German economy in the near-term with renewed headwinds to external demand, but over time they expect the growth pace to gather some speed reaching 1.6% in 2021.

Key Quotes

“The domestic side of the economy remains fairly resilient and rising real wages and fiscal stimulus should continue to underpin growth.”

“We project core inflation pressures to continue to build up in light of a strong labour market and dynamic wage growth.”

“Many risks to the growth outlook for the German economy continue to linger from the external side, the most prominent remaining the threat of US car tariffs.”

 

 

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