- Gold has stalled in the decent within its bearish cycle.
- XAU/USD’s short term momentum is with the bulls with prospects of a 50% mean reversion of the weekly bearish impulse.
Gold is testing the commitments of the bulls with a focus on the weekly 50% mean reversion confluence with old support.
The following is a top-down analysis that illustrates how bulls now need to get over the daily resistance from within 4-hour bullish conditions.
Monthly chart
The monthly chart has shown indecisiveness in the market so far for March, supported by the 21 SMA.
Weekly chart
Bulls have their eyes on a move back to test old support and a 50% mean reversion.
Daily chart
The daily chart shows the price is at a crossroad.
At resistance, there is the possibility of a return back to test the support and would leave the price trapped.
On a break of resistance, there are the prospects of a run back to test the 21-D SMA which would meet a 50% mean reversion of the weekly bearish impulse.
4-hour
The 4-hour momentum is with the bulls as the price chips away at the resistance zone and rides the support of the 21-SMA.
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