- GBP/CAD has melted to the downside in accordance with the broader bear trend.
- Bears will be looking for a discount to re-engage and target the weekly demand area.
As per the prior analysis from 22/03, GBP/CAD Price Analysis: Bears eye a downside extension, the price has indeed shifted to the downside.
Prior analysis, 4-hour chart
From the 4-hour chart perspective, the bulls are in control until a break of the current support structure. A final break of this, then the downside will be in play.
Live market, 4-hour chart
The price is now below the 21-SMA and Momentum is bearish also.
Bears will be looking for a correction of the spike lower for a discount in targetting a break of support structure on the next bearish impulse for a lower low.
This would be in a confluence of the longer-term chart’s bearish market structure and broader bear trend.
Weekly bearish trend
1-hour chart
The price is retreating towards old support that would be expected to act as resistance.
There is also a confluence with a 50% mean reversion.