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China: Sluggish outlook for housing market in 2018-19 – Standard Chartered

Analysts at Standard Chartered expect China’s annual housing floor space sold to fall 3% in 2018, recovering to growth of 4% in 2019.

Key Quotes

“The real-estate sector is likely to contribute a lower 0.2ppt to GDP growth in 2018, and 0.3ppt in 2019.”

“Our comparison of 40 cities suggests housing affordability is worst in Shenzhen, Beijing, Xiamen, Sanya.”

“Sanya, Haikou, Zhengzhou, Nanning, Wuhan and Hangzhou are more vulnerable to housing downturns.”

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