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IMF: German trade surplus contributes to trade tension

International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Chief Economist Maury Obstfeld wrote about the how the German trade surplus is contributing to the trade tensions, in a guest commentary published in German daily Die Welt on Monday.

Key Quotes:

“In (current account) surplus countries such as Germany we see hesitant measures, at best, to counteract the surplus.”

“Countries like the United States, in which the external current account balance is too low, should reduce budget deficits, encourage households to save more, and gradually normalize their monetary policy.”

“The net external positions will diverge more. That increases the risk of disruption by currency or asset price adjustments in indebted countries, to the disadvantage of all.”

“If there is a sudden adjustment, then both the debtor and creditor countries will suffer.”  

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