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The pound’s rally could take a breather

The GBP/USD enjoyed the news that Brexit talks will be going on non-stop and also the dollar’s weakness. However, it may run into some hurdles now.

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the  1.2918  level is a dense cluster of resistance lines including the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 2, the 4h-high, the Bollinger Band 15m-Upper, the 1h-high, the BB 4h-Upper, the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA 50-15m, the SMA 10-1h, the BB 15m-Middle, and the SMA 5-1h.

Should the pair overcome this level, the next cap is quite close:  1.2938is the confluence of the Pivot Point one-month Support 1, the Bolinger Band one-day Middle, the one-day high, and the BB 1h-Upper.

Some support is found at  1.2878  which is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and the SMA 5-4h.

However, more serious support awaits only at  1.2743  which sees the convergence of the SMA 50-4h, the SMA 200-1h, the Pivot Point one-day Support 2, and the all-important Pivot Point one-month Support 2.

All in all, the path of least resistance is to the downside.

This is how it looks on the tool:

GBP USD Technical confluence August 22 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. This means that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.