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EUR/USD upside has its limits

The  EUR/USD  advanced on the greenback’s weakness following the relative dovishness of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Can it continue higher?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that the pair has an area of struggle at  1.1673  which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 5-4h, the one-hour low, the four-hour low, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, and the SMA 5-15m.

A run higher may halt at  1.1709  which is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month and the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1.

The most robust cap is at  1.1746  which is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the Bolinger Band one-day Upper, and last month’s high.

Immediate support is quite close:  1.1661  which is the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, and the SMA 100-15m.

However, the next significant cluster of technical lines is only at  1.1588  which is the meeting point of the PP one-month Support 1, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week, and the SMA 200-4h.

All in all, resistance lines are stronger than support lines.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD Technical confluence August 28 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.