Are markets too optimistic on the Fed, China, and Brexit? – MM #186

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After a dark December, markets have become calm and optimistic about everything. IS this positive sentiment justified? We examine the three key topics: the Fed, Brexit, and China’s economy. 

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  1. Fed: Markets have discounted a rate hike this year and even see a rate cut. They may have gone too far as a mix of inflation, job gains, and other factors can push Powell and co. to raise rates at least once. The next meeting is critical.
  2. Brexit: The clock is ticking towards B-Day and the default is a hard Brexit. We examine the options and look for the “panic moment.” The pound may be too calm.
  3. China: The world’s second-largest economy is slowing down and offers some stimulus amid growing debt. Is it enough? Trade wars and savings are not helping.

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About Author

Yohay Elam – Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I’ve accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I’ve earned the significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I’ve worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.