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Australian GDP slightly misses – AUD/USD holds ground

The Australian economy grew by 0.5% in Q4 2014, less than 0.6% that had been anticipated by economists. Year over year, the economy  advanced 2.5%,  which was as  predicted, but lower than 2.7% seen in Q3.

This small miss resulted in an immediate move lower, but this was short lived: the pair jumped back up quite quickly.

The GDP read for Q3 was revised up to 0.4% from 0.3% originally reported. This balances the small miss in Q4.

Earlier this week, the RBA surprised by keeping the interest rate unchanged at 2.25%, contrary to expectations for a  second consecutive cut to 2%. However, many suspect that the central bank will cut the rates in April or in May.

In China, Australia’s no. 1 trade partner, the HSBC services PMI came out at 52 points, marginally higher than 51.8 seen in  January.  Manufacturing in China is more important than services for Australia.

Opinion:  AUD/USD: Ideal Sell; – Goldman Sachs

Here is how it looks on the chart:

AUDUSD technical chart March 4 2015 stable after weaker than expected GDP Australia

 

In this week’s podcast, we cover  Yellen & the hike, AUD & CAD rate previews, Jobless claims vs. USD & Greek back burner

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.