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Pound Breaking Down – Not Waiting for Data

In the wake of the new and and critical trading week, the Pound is tumbling down, seeing levels that haven’t been visited for three weeks. Do this imply the direction when the major indicators are published later this week?  

The British Pound began the forex trading week with a pound – GBP/USD now trades at 14550, falling about 250 pips from last weeks close at 1.4795. This comes hand in hand with a general dollar sentiment.

Although all the currencies (except the Yen) surrender to the dollar, the Pound’s fall is especially sharp. For comparison, check out the EUR/GBP, that is rising by 1%. The Pound is suffering across the board.  

Also do check out the GBP/JPY, which is making the sharpest move, falling by 2%. The Dollar Yen correlation is stronger than ever, with the Yen strengthening even more than the dollar.

The last time that the GBP/USD visited these levels was on April 2nd, when the Pound broke upwards, and even topped 1.50 last week.  

Major British Economic Indicators

This significant weakening comes before any significant figure was released. The only British figure that was released today was the  Rightmove HPI, which rose by 1.8%, more than last month’s 0.9%. The fall of the Pound came only many hours after this positive publication. I currently can’t figure out why the Pound is pounded…

This is a critical week for the Pound: CPI,  Claimant Count Change,  MPC Meeting Minutes,  Retail Sales and Prelim GDP are the main economic indicators that are released this week in the UK. The first major indicator is CPI, which will be released tomorrow, Tuesday.

So, are traders expecting the British data to be very weak this week? Does this imply that the Pound will tumble even more?  

After breaking this support line, the GBP/USD has more room to fall. Next support lines are at 1.4240, 1.41 and 1.40. A very interesting week is about to unfold on the British Pound…

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.