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EUR/CAD Going Lower

Euro reversing from its highs, as stocks found some sellers during the FOMC Press Conference. US dollar was mostly stronger, but Canadian dollar was acting quite well during this time. As such, we looked at some crosses, and Eur/Cad should be really interesting. We are expecting a rise of Canadian dollar against the Euro even if dollar rises against Euro and Canadian dollar at the same time.

Guest post by Gregor Horvat

Eur/Cad technical comments:

A bounce from June 2010 lows; exactly one year back, cannot be counted impulsively. So if its not impulse, then we know its corrective move, a double zig-zag pattern; W-X-Y as labelled on the chart! With this being said, we believe that Long-term trend is down, so long-term investors should look for shorts on that pair, rather than longs.

In fact, if we take a look on the next 4h chart, then we can see a five wave decline from 1.4378 highs, called an impulse where wave iii) is the longest, and waves iv) and i) do not overlap!. Elliott Wave theory says that impulsive waves shows direction of a temporary trend, which is down, and should continue, once corrective wave (ii) bounce from 1.3820 completes.

Generally speaking, pair should reach levels well below 1.382, while highs from early June are in place.

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Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Grega Horvat Grega is based in Slovenia and has been involved in markets since 2003. He is the owner of Ew-Forecast, but before that he was working for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com. His feature articles have been published on FXstreet.com, Thestreet.com, Action forex, Forex TV, Istockanalyst, ForexFactory, Fxtraders.eu, Insidefutures.com, etc. He recently won the award on FXStreet.com for Best Forex Analysis in 2016. At Ew-forecast he helps clients and educates them about the Elliott wave principle and how to label and track unfolding patterns in real time. His approach to the markets is mainly technical. He uses a lot of different methods when analyzing the markets such as candlestick patterns, MA, technical indicators etc. His specialty, however, is Elliott Wave Theory which could be very helpful especially if you know how to use it in combination with other tools/indicators. EW-Forecast To be involved in the market effectively, you need the right guidance and resources, and our team can help you to achieve that. Our team is providing advanced informations about Elliott Wave theory in real time. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying the behavior of the markets and at what points the market is most likely to turn. We help new traders who are interested in Elliott Wave theory to understand it correctly. We are doing our best to explain our views as simple as possible with educational goal, because knowledge itself is power!