Home Forex Analysis: EUR/USD Pulls Back after Sharp Surge
Forex News Today: Daily Trading News

Forex Analysis: EUR/USD Pulls Back after Sharp Surge


July 11, 2013 – EUR/USD (daily chart) has pulled back to hit a low around key 1.3000 support today after yesterday’s dramatic surge that shot price up from a low below 1.2800 support up to a high near 1.3200. That surge temporarily helped EUR/USD recover back up to around the 62% Fibonacci retracement of the strong bearish leg that had been in place for the prior three weeks. The current pullback after that recovery represents an exhaustion of the sharp upside move.

Two key support/resistance levels should dictate which direction price may follow after the spike. To the downside, a re-break below 1.3000 would indicate that yesterday’s surge was little more than a bullish retracement within a larger bearish trend. In this case, the currency pair has downside support objectives around 1.2800, 1.2650, and then 1.2450. In the opposite event of a breakout above the 1.3200-area high, a new bullish leg will have formed, with a key upside resistance objective around 1.3400.

James Chen, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist
City Index Group


Forex trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. This information is being provided only for general market commentary and does not constitute investment trading advice. These materials are not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial instrument and should not be used as the basis for any investment decision.

James Chen

James Chen

James Chen is Chief Technical Strategist for City Index Group. He is also a Chartered Market Technician. He is the author of the books: "Essentials of Foreign Exchange Trading" (John Wiley & Sons, 2009) and "Essentials of Technical Analysis for Financial Markets" (John Wiley & Sons, 2010). Mr. Chen writes currency analysis, leads forex trading seminars and has appeared in numerous major financial media outlets, including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Forbes, Reuters, Dow Jones, and the Associated Press.