ADP was expected to report a gain of 175K private sector jobs in August after originally reporting 200K for July. Some had probably expected a higher number, but this is a solid figure. The actual NFP was lower in July, so a downwards revision was talked about. The revision puts the figure for July at 198K – a very minor revision. Assuming that the NFP is not too far from these numbers, it seems that a tapering of $15 billion will be announced on September 18th.
EUR/USD was stable above 1.32 before the publication. GBP/USD was on the rise and traded near 1.5650, while USD/JPY fell back below the 100 level. The dollar is falling after the event — updates coming —
EUR/USD shot up to 1.3222, USD/JPY dropped below 99.80 and GBP/USD advanced to 1.5665.
The big event for the euro is the ECB press conference. Follow a live blog of the event.
There are two more indicators left before the Non-Farm Payrolls: the weekly jobless claims at 12:30 GMT and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (and its employment component) at 14:00.
See how to trade the PMI with USD/JPY
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