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US inflation rises to 2.1%, core to 2% – USD stronger

Prices are rising stronger than expected in the US: headlines CPI is at 2.1% with +0.4% m/m, while Core CPI rises to 2% after +0.3% m/m. The positive inflation figures overshadow weak housing data.

Analysis:  Will Yellen take a page from Carney’s book?

US  annual inflation was expected to stand at 2% y/y rising 0.2% in May. Core inflation was predicted to rise by the same 0.2% m/m and advance to 1.9% y/y. Building permits  carried expectations to slide to an annual level of 1.055 million from 1.08  million in April, but they disappointed with 0.991 million. Housing starts to follow a similar path and drop from 1.072 to 1.05 million but they came out short at 1.001  million.

Before the release, EUR/USD traded steadily around 1.0350, USD/JPY battled with 102 and GBP/USD recovered back up to 1.6975. The dollar is now stronger with EUR/USD sliding towards support at 1.3550, USD/JPY climbing above 102 and the pound sliding back down.

Markets already  have one eye on tomorrow’s big event: the Fed decision. While there is no doubt that the Fed will taper again to $35 billion / month for the fifth time, there is uncertainty about the guidance and the forecasts. Will the Fed indicate the potential timing of a rate hike?

With these inflation figures, Yellen could take a page from Carney’s book.

More:  Fed unlikely to rock the boat, Carney could have preempted meeting minutes

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.