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What markets really do on jobs day – MM #117

The NFP always moves markets, but how exactly? We  look at the bigger picture of the market impact, continue with  previewing the ECB and finish with  discussing more events on the calendar.

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  1. NFP Impact:  The Non-Farm Payrolls report always leaves its mark on  currency and stock markets. We examine USD/JPY and the S&P index. We look at the reactions using  Bayesian analysis and reach interesting conclusions. The reaction depends on the direction of travel as well.
  2. ECB Preview: Magician Mario Draghi returns to the scene, this time with a fresh disappointment on inflation and fresh forecasts. Will they do something? Can they?
  3. Preview: After Labor Day in the US, markets are in 100% full steam. Apart from the ECB meeting, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and 2 additional rate decisions dot the calendar.

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.