Home USD: Fed To The Rescue: Will The USD Rally Out

USD: Fed To The Rescue: Will The USD Rally Out

The Fed is making its decision today and a dovish hike is on the cards. How will the dollar react?

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

NAB FX Strategy Research expects a  quarter-point lift to the Fed Funds rate (to 1.0-1.25%) at the FOMC June meeting and argues that any thing other than retention of the end-2017 median dot at 1.375% would be a major surprise.

“If no upsets here, then what if anything happens to the 2018 dots – and the narrative surrounding them in Yellen’s post-FOMC press conference, should be important,” NAB argues.

If the Fed highlights that the medium-term outlook for inflation or rates hasn’t really changed despite recent softer data, there is potential for the USD to rally out of the FOMC,” NAB adds.

However, NAB argues that a  substantial USD rally will likely require strong US data over the coming months.

We continue to expect this, hence our still bullish USD H2 2017 forecasts, for all bar EUR/USD,” NAB argues.

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Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.