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US: Core inflation as expected – Nordea Markets

US core CPI came out at 0.2% m/m in May, unchanged from April and in line with consensus expectations and consequently, core CPI inflation rose to 2.2% y/y from 2.1% y/y in April, notes Kjetil Olsen, Research Analyst at Nordea Markets.

Key Quotes

“Headline CPI also increased 0.2% m/m in May and 2.8% y/y. Higher energy prices are the reason for the high headline inflation.”

“The main driver for the increase in core inflation is core service inflation, reflecting higher wage pressures.”

“Momentum remains close to 2% but there are upside risks ahead. We expect core inflation to reach 2.5% during summer and rise very gradually during the remainder of the year in tandem with a further rise in wage growth due to the strong labour market.”

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