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EUR/USD is stuck, but the upside is more appetizing

The  EUR/USD  recovered from the lows as Germany’s political crisis ended with a compromise. What’s next for the euro?

The  Technical Confluences Indicator  shows that there are good reasons why the EUR/USD is trading around the middle of the 1.6000s.  1.1646  is the convergence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Simple Moving Average 5-15m, the SMA 200-15m, the SM 50-1h, the SMA 10-4h, the Bolinger Band 15m-Upper, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, and more.

Substantial resistance is at  1.1694  which is the confluence of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 1, the one-day high, and the Bollinger Band 1h-Upper. Higher,  1.1725  is notable for the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, but it is not a strong line.

Yet looking at the tool, levels of support are much stronger. The pair has a lot of support on the way down with  1.1592  standing out and overpowering the resistance line mentioned earlier. This is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the one-day, the Bolinger Band one-hour Lower, and the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week.

Further down,  1.1510  is where the Bolinger Band one-day Lower and the one-month low converge.

All in all, resistance lines are weaker than support lines.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD Technical analysis July 3 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds  exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences.  The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a  congestion of indicators,  moving averages,  Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence  adjacents  price levels. These weightings mean that one  price level without any indicator  or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam: Founder, Writer and Editor I have been into forex trading for over 5 years, and I share the experience that I have and the knowledge that I've accumulated. After taking a short course about forex. Like many forex traders, I've earned a significant share of my knowledge the hard way. Macroeconomics, the impact of news on the ever-moving currency markets and trading psychology have always fascinated me. Before founding Forex Crunch, I've worked as a programmer in various hi-tech companies. I have a B. Sc. in Computer Science from Ben Gurion University. Given this background, forex software has a relatively bigger share in the posts.