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USD/JPY neutral, moved into a consolidative phase – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group noted the pair has likely returned to a consolidative theme.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “The strong recovery from yesterday’s low of 110.01 appears to be running ahead of itself and further sustained USD strength seems unlikely. That said, there is scope for a test of 110.95 but a break above the next resistance at 111.30 would come as a surprise (there is another strong resistance at 111.45). On the downside, support is at 110.40 followed by 110.20. The low near 110.00 is not expected to come into the picture”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “In our last update on Tuesday (21 Aug, spot at 110.05), we held the view that USD has scope to test the major 109.35 support. USD subsequently dropped to a low of 109.76 during NY hours on Tuesday before staging a surprisingly strong rebound. Downward pressure has eased with the recovery and USD has likely moved back into a consolidate range. From here, we expect USD to trade sideways, likely between 109.90 and 111.45″.

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