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US: Home price appreciation continues to outpace income growth – Nomura

Analysts at Nomura note that in the US, the Case-Shiller 20-city composite home price index increased 0.1% m-o-m in June, bringing the y-o-y rate to 6.3%, down 0.2pp from May.

Key Quotes

“Despite the tick down in the y-o-y rate, home price appreciation continues to outpace that of income growth and will likely worsen affordability.”

“Combined with rising mortgage rates and an undersupply of available homes, today’s Case-Shiller numbers are consistent with our somewhat pessimistic outlook for residential investment.”

“Looking at the details, as has been the case for some time, cities in the West, including Las Vegas, Seattle and San Francisco, showed the highest y-o-y home price increases, all between 10.6% and 13%.”

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