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Australia: Business conditions edge lower but remain favourable – NAB

Australia’s Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) business conditions edged lower in Q3 2018 to +11, while SME business confidence fell to +2pts, notes the research team at NAB.

Key Quotes

“While conditions have eased over the past two quarters, they remain well above average, though confidence has declined to below average levels.”

“According to Alan Oster, NAB Group Chief Economist: “Conditions have eased through the middle of 2018, but SME business conditions are still at very reasonable levels. SME business confidence is a bit weaker and is now below average”.”

“Like conditions, confidence for SMEs remains weakest in the retail sector, though wholesale and finance also report worsening confidence at present. Confidence was highest in the manufacturing and construction industries.”

“While conditions remain favourable overall, the smaller SMEs were significantly weaker this quarter, with sharp declines across most survey categories.”

“A concerning finding from the Survey was a significant deterioration in conditions, confidence, forward orders and cash flow at the smaller end of the SME sector. This needs to be watched and better understood” said Mr Oster.

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