- The AUD/USD has found support around 0.7050 this week, but so far, that has failed to recharge engines for a strong corrective rally.
- Notably, the 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA) has been proving a tough nut to crack.
- As a result, the 200-hour EMA of 0.7096 is the level to beat for the bulls. Acceptance above that level would open up upside toward 0.7182 (50-hour EMA + falling trendline from January highs).
- On the downside, a violation at the recent low of 0.7041 (Oct. 8 low) will likely embolden the bears and expose the psychological support of 0.70.
Hourly Chart
Spot Rate: 0.7070
Daily High: 0.7082
Daily Low: 0.7064
Trend: Bullish above 200-hour EMA
Resistance
R1: 0.7096 (200-hour EMA)
R2: 0.7160 (Oct. 17 high)
R3: 0.7181 (50-day EMA + trendline hurdle)
Support
S1: 0.7055 (previous day’s low)
S2: 0.7041 (recent low)
S3: 0.70 (psychological support)
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