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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Chipping away at the 100-day SMA resistance line

  • The AUD/USD is attempting a break above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) hurdle of 0.7247, having bounced off strongly from the bullish (ascending) 20-day SMA of 0.7226 earlier today.
  • The strong bounce from the 20-day SMA has indeed neutralized the bearish outlook put forward by the rising channel breakdown witnessed on Nov. 20.
  • A bullish revival, however, would be confirmed above 0.73 (the neckline hurdle of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern). That move could happen if the global equity markets trade on the offensive, as suggested by the 0.5 percent rise in the S&P 500 futures in Asia.
  • The daily MACD has diverged in favor of the bears. As a result, the probability of pair confirming bullish revival above 0.73 in the short-term is quite low.  

Daily Chart

AUD/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  0.7245
       Today Daily change:  15  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.207%
       Today Daily Open:  0.723
Trends:
       Previous Daily SMA20:  0.7217
       Previous Daily SMA50:  0.7178
       Previous Daily SMA100:  0.725
       Previous Daily SMA200:  0.7439
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  0.7261
       Previous Daily Low:  0.7218
       Previous Weekly High:  0.7327
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.7202
       Previous Monthly High:  0.724
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.702
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.7235
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.7245
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.7212
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.7194
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.717
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.7255
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.7279
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.7297

 

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