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Australia: Trade boom – TDS

Annette Beacher, Chief Asia-Pacific Macro Strategist at TD Securities, points out that the Australian Oct trade surplus narrowed to +$A2.3b due to a larger pop in imports than expected (+3.2%/m), while exports rose by +1.3%/m, shared between goods and services.

Key Quotes

“China’s trade report for October already told us it was a record month for exports to Australia and this was confirmed. The Nov Chinese trade report is released on Dec 8. Australia’s trade surplus with Japan widened to $A3.5b in October, the widest in a decade, as the bulk of Australia’s LNG is committed to Japan.”

“The AUD is currently being weighed down by rising rate cut expectations after yesterday’s soft Q3 GDP report (and no upside from retail sales today).”

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