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AUD/USD is again attempting a break above 0.72, focus on Fed

  • AUD/USD is attempting a break above 0.72 amid broad-based USD selling.  
  • The dollar will likely pick up a strong bid if the Fed sounds less dovish-than-expected.  

Dollar selling ahead of the Fed is pushing AUD/USD higher, the pair, however, is yet to cross the psychological hurdle of 0.72.

Moreover, the Aussie bulls had a go at that level on Tuesday but failed to chew through offers placed just above 0.7203. The pair, therefore, ended up carving out a doji – a sign of indecision in the marketplace.

That said, the falling wedge breakout seen in the 4-hour chart would gain credence if the spot closes today above 0.7203 (yesterday’s doji candle), confirming a bullish doji reversal.

The bullish daily close may remain elusive if the Fed leaves investors behind the curve with a less-dovish-than-expected forecast of two rate hikes in 2019. Moreover, the markets are currently assigning just a 30 percent probability of a single rate hike for 2019.

However, the pair could fly high if the central bank drops hints of a rate hike pause in 2019.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  0.7196
       Today Daily change:  15  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.209%
       Today Daily Open:  0.7181
Trends:
       Previous Daily SMA20:  0.7245
       Previous Daily SMA50:  0.7196
       Previous Daily SMA100:  0.7222
       Previous Daily SMA200:  0.7389
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  0.7204
       Previous Daily Low:  0.7162
       Previous Weekly High:  0.7247
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.7151
       Previous Monthly High:  0.7345
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.7072
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.7188
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.7178
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.7161
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.714
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.7119
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.7203
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.7224
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.7245

 

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