- Concerns over a slowdown in Chinese economy weighs on AUD.
- US Dollar Index rebounds sharply on Wednesday.
- Coming up: TD Securities inflation report.
The AUD/USD pair broke below the critical 0.70 mark on Wednesday and slumped to its lowest level since January 2016 at 0.6982 before staging a modest technical correction in the late NA session. As of writing, the pair was down 0.77% on the day at 0.6998.
Earlier today, China Finance, a magazine published by the PBoC, painted a gloomy picture regarding the economic performance. “The trend of economic slowdown still continues, and the slowing momentum is increasing. The fourth quarter GDP growth is very possible to be lower than 6.5 percent,” the article read and revived concerns over the potential negative impact of a weaker Chinese economic growth on the global economy. Amid the strong trade ties between China and Australia, the AUD suffered heavy losses against its rivals.
On the other hand, the greenback returned from the New Year break on a positive note and gathered strength as a safer alternative to its risk-sensitive European counterparts. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against its rivals, rose to a 5-day high near 97 to ramp up the bearish pressure on the pair.
In the early trading hours of the Asian session on Thursday, TD Securities’ December inflation report will be looked upon for fresh impetus. However, markets’ risk perception and the dollar’s performance is likely to remain as the primary driver of the pair’s price action.
Technical levels to consider
AUD/USD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 0.6995
Today Daily change: -61 pips
Today Daily change %: -0.865%
Today Daily Open: 0.7056
Trends:
Previous Daily SMA20: 0.7134
Previous Daily SMA50: 0.7186
Previous Daily SMA100: 0.7192
Previous Daily SMA200: 0.7354
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 0.7072
Previous Daily Low: 0.6996
Previous Weekly High: 0.7078
Previous Weekly Low: 0.7014
Previous Monthly High: 0.7394
Previous Monthly Low: 0.7014
Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.7043
Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.7025
Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.7011
Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.6965
Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.6935
Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.7087
Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.7117
Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.7163