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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: love affair with the falling trendline continues

  • The NZD/USD pair is probing the trendline falling from December highs for the third day straight. As of writing, the trendline resistance is located at 0.6786. Interestingly, the 100-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart is also located at that level.
  • The confluence of the trendline and key MA, if breached, would allow extension of the recovery rally from the recent low of 0.6586, although the head-and-shoulders neckline (former support) of 0.6801 could offer resistance.
  • Moreover, forcing a convincing breakout is easier said than done for the bulls, as the averages are still biased bearish. The 50- and 100-candle MAs are trending south. Further, the stacking order of the 50-candle MA, below the 100-candle MA, below the 200-candle MA is a classic bear indicator.

4-hour chart

Trend: Neutral

NZD/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  0.6783
       Today Daily change:  3.0  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.0442%
       Today Daily Open:  0.678
Trends:
       Previous Daily SMA20:  0.6745
       Previous Daily SMA50:  0.6787
       Previous Daily SMA100:  0.6681
       Previous Daily SMA200:  0.6799
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  0.6799
       Previous Daily Low:  0.6771
       Previous Weekly High:  0.6843
       Previous Weekly Low:  0.6516
       Previous Monthly High:  0.697
       Previous Monthly Low:  0.6686
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  0.6782
       Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  0.6788
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S1:  0.6768
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S2:  0.6755
       Previous Daily Pivot Point S3:  0.674
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R1:  0.6796
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R2:  0.6811
       Previous Daily Pivot Point R3:  0.6824

 

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