Home USD/CAD struggles to find direction, trades in tight range near mid-1.32s
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USD/CAD struggles to find direction, trades in tight range near mid-1.32s

  • WTI recovers Monday’s losses, trades above $53.
  • Consumer sentiment deteriorates in the U.S. in January.
  • US Dollar Index clings to small gains in the early NA session.

After closing the day modestly higher on Monday, the USD/CAD pair failed to build on its recent gains and started to fluctuate in a tight 30-pip range on Tuesday. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on the day at 1.3262.

Although the decisive rebound witnessed in the WTI, which lost 2.7% on Monday, seems to be helping the commodity-sensitive find demand on Tuesday, stronger greenback in the NA session caps any potential gains for the time being.  

Following a drop to a two-week low of 95.62 earlier in the day, the US Dollar Index rose above 95.80 in the last hour. However, the fact that 10-year T-bond yield is losing nearly 1% on the day suggests that the greenback’s recovery is technical in nature and is unlikely to last.  

In its monthly report on Tuesday, the Consumer Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index in January edged down to 120.2 from 126.6 in December. Commenting on the details of the report, “The Present Situation Index was virtually unchanged, suggesting economic conditions remain favorable. Expectations, however, declined sharply as financial market volatility and the government shutdown appear to have impacted consumers,” said    Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board.

There won’t be any macroeconomic data releases from Canada on Wednesday and investors are likely to stay on the sidelines ahead of tomorrow’s key FOMC announcements.  

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview:
Trends:
       Daily SMA20:  1.3329
       Daily SMA50:  1.338
       Daily SMA100:  1.3213
       Daily SMA200:  1.3122
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  1.3287
       Previous Daily Low:  1.3203
       Previous Weekly High:  1.3378
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.3224
       Previous Monthly High:  1.4134
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.316
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.3255
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.3235
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.3208
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.3164
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.3125
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.3292
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.3331
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.3375

 

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