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EUR/USD: focus shift to Eurozone GDP after dovish Fed

  • Dovish Fed has likely put EUR/USD on the path to re-test of recent highs near 1.1570.  
  • US-DE (German) 10-year yield spread is looking south, favors upside in the EUR.  

A better-than-expected Eurozone GDP would only accentuate bullish pressures and allow a sustained rally to 1.16 and above.  

The EUR/USD pair clocked a 20-day high of 1.1508 in Asia and could soon test monthly highs near 1.1570, courtesy of the dovish Fed.  

The US central bank kept rates unchanged and discarded promises of further gradual increased. It added further that the next move in rates could be up or down and expressed willingness to adjust the quantitative tightening program if the economy continues to trend south.  

That is a significant dovish change from the previous stance, which cited interest rates as the primary tool.  

The dollar, therefore, could remain under pressure in the near-term. The bond yield differentials are also biased toward the EUR bulls.  

For instance, the spread between the US and German 10-year government bond yield fell to 248 basis points earlier today and could slide further toward the recent low of 239 basis points in the EUR-positive manner, having witnessed an ascending triangle breakdown on the daily chart on Tuesday.  

Further, the EUR could pick up a strong bid in Europe if both the German jobs data and the Eurozone Q4 GDP data blow past expectations, dashing hopes of a dovish change in the ECB’s forward guidance.  

A convincing break above the recent high of 1.1570, however, may remain elusive if the Eurozone GDP shows a sharp deceleration in the economy.  

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview:
       Today Last Price:  1.1503
       Today Daily change:  0.0022  pips
       Today Daily change %:  0.19%
       Today Daily Open:  1.1481
Trends:
       Daily SMA20:  1.1422
       Daily SMA50:  1.1393
       Daily SMA100:  1.1446
       Daily SMA200:  1.1568
Levels:
       Previous Daily High:  1.1502
       Previous Daily Low:  1.1406
       Previous Weekly High:  1.1418
       Previous Weekly Low:  1.1289
       Previous Monthly High:  1.1486
       Previous Monthly Low:  1.1269
       Daily Fibonacci 38.2%:  1.1466
       Daily Fibonacci 61.8%:  1.1443
       Daily Pivot Point S1:  1.1424
       Daily Pivot Point S2:  1.1367
       Daily Pivot Point S3:  1.1327
       Daily Pivot Point R1:  1.152
       Daily Pivot Point R2:  1.156
       Daily Pivot Point R3:  1.1617

 

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