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Eurozone: Positive development on inflation front? – TDS

Analysts at TD Securities point out that the Eurozone’s headline inflation in January was as expected at 1.4% y/y, but core inflation surprised slightly to the upside, at 1.1% y/y.

Key Quotes

“Limited details in the report show that services jumped strongly to 1.6% y/y (matching its highest rate since early 2017), while core goods inflation slowed slightly to 0.3% y/y. Unless the full details on 21 Feb point to a specific 1-off factor, this should be interpreted as a positive development, potentially reflecting stronger wage growth and decent domestic demand in the euro area.”

“Revisions to January’s Manufacturing PMIs showed German in slightly deeper contraction territory than previously reported, at 49.7, while the broader regional index remained unrevised at 50.5.”

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